The current stance of monetary policy is ultra-easy, and remains appropriately calibrated given the macroeconomic situation in the U.S.
The ultra-easy monetary policy has been appropriate so far, but could reignite a 1970s-type experience globally if pursued too aggressively. The 1970s era included 4 recessions in 13 years, double-digit inflation, and double-digit unemployment. The lesson was clear: “Do not let the inflation genie out of the bottle.”
If anything, the Committee may be trying to do too much with monetary policy, risking monetary instability for the U.S. and the global economy.
Monetary policy is a blunt instrument which affects the decision making of everyone in the economy. It may be better to focus on labor market policies to directly address unemployment instead of taking further risks with monetary policy.
The {Fed's} current communication strategy operates with only a few variables, while the economy is described by many variables. The FOMC could instead publish a quarterly document akin to the Bank of England’s “Inflation Report.” A report of this type could potentially lay down a benchmark “Fed view” on the key issues facing the U.S. economy. Release of the report could be coordinated with the quarterly press briefings conducted by Chairman Bernanke.